Bowling Green
Bowling Green State University · 2022 · Mid-American
Bowling Green went 6-7 and was ranked 104th in the FanBoardHQ CFP Rankings (blended resume and efficiency). Their 112th-ranked defense carried them, with an 117th-ranked offense. They passed the ball on 57% of offensive plays with a 99th-ranked passing attack and ran the ball on the remaining 43% of plays with an 117th-ranked rushing attack.
Quadrant record
By opponent strength, adjusted for where the game was played.
Projected wins
Per-game win probabilities combined across the full schedule.
The resume
Every game on the schedule. Click a row for the game breakdown (played) or the matchup projection (upcoming).
| Wk | Opponent | Conf | Opp rank | Result | Exp. margin | Win prob | GameScore | Quad |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @ UCLA | Pac-12 | #25 | L 17–45 | -29.4 | 0% | -10.1 | Q1 |
| 2 | vs Eastern Kentucky | Atlantic Sun | — | L 57–59 | +2.6 | 0% | -21.7 | Q4 |
| 3 | vs Marshall | Sun Belt | #59 | W 34–31 | -13.7 | 100% | -2.2 | Q4 |
| 4 | @ Mississippi State | SEC | #16 | L 14–45 | -34.0 | 0% | -17.7 | Q1 |
| 5 | @ Akron | Mid-American | #127 | W 31–28 | -1.1 | 100% | -22.7 | Q4 |
| 6 | vs Buffalo | Mid-American | #87 | L 7–38 | -6.5 | 0% | -44.5 | Q4 |
| 7 | vs Miami-OH | Mid-American | #101 | W 17–13 | -0.8 | 100% | -10.4 | Q4 |
| 8 | @ Central Michigan | Mid-American | #115 | W 34–18 | -4.2 | 100% | 3.4 | Q4 |
| 10 | vs Western Michigan | Mid-American | #110 | W 13–9 | +2.5 | 100% | -15.5 | Q4 |
| 11 | vs Kent State | Mid-American | #94 | L 6–40 | -5.2 | 0% | -38.4 | Q4 |
| 12 | @ Toledo | Mid-American | #69 | W 42–35 | -15.7 | 100% | 5.3 | Q3 |
| 13 | @ Ohio | Mid-American | #62 | L 14–38 | -15.6 | 0% | -26.2 | Q3 |
| Postseason | ||||||||
| — | vs New Mexico State | FBS Independents | #93 | L 19–24 | -1.6 | 0% | -19.5 | Q4 |
13 played · 6-7. Expected margin and gamescore use the latest ratings — a completed game shows what the model would say now, not that week.
The season
The model’s read on Bowling Green, recomputed after every week. Toggle between overall, offensive, and defensive efficiency (each with a dot for that week’s game) or the FanBoardHQ CFP rank.
Passing & rushing
Opponent-adjusted, FBS-only. The bar is the blended Eff rank — EPA/play (scoring value), success rate (staying on schedule), and yards/play (explosiveness), each standardized against the FBS field. The three ranks below each bar are those components, so you can see what's driving it.
Their offense vs. what their defense allows.
Scored vs. allowed, all regular-season games.
What kind of team is this?
Every team by offensive and defensive efficiency (points/game vs. an average team, higher is better on both). Click a dot for that team.
Field position 46th · Finishing 124th
Field position 126th · Finishing 106th
1.54 points per drive on offense, 2.08 allowed — starting, on average, at their own 31.
Play-calling & efficiency
What the offense did, by quarter and by down — raw, not opponent-adjusted.
| Quarter (att.) | Pass / rush | Success | Yd/play |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q1(194) | 58% / 42% | 37% | 5.1 |
| Q2(207) | 57% / 43% | 41% | 5.7 |
| Q3(213) | 63% / 37% | 42% | 5.5 |
| Q4(171) | 47% / 53% | 36% | 5.4 |
| Down (att.) | Avg. to go | Success | Yd/play |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st(156) | 10.6 | 45% | 6.2 |
| 2nd(152) | 9.0 | 39% | 6.1 |
| 3rd(126) | 8.3 | 32% | 5.5 |
| 4th(14) | 5.8 | 43% | 10.9 |
| All (448) | — | 39% | 6.1 |
| Down (att.) | Avg. to go | Success | Yd/play |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st(173) | 9.8 | 38% | 4.8 |
| 2nd(105) | 7.0 | 37% | 3.9 |
| 3rd(49) | 6.7 | 45% | 5.6 |
| 4th(10) | 4.0 | 60% | 3.8 |
| All (337) | — | 39% | 4.6 |
Bowling Green, all games.